Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.301975 0.352663 0.406210 0.466706 0.532867 0.602755 0.681888
2025-01-12 0.225436 0.293502 0.370273 0.462110 0.567843 0.684690 0.822512
2025-01-19 0.177465 0.256484 0.351189 0.470285 0.613372 0.777265 0.976695
2025-01-26 0.144232 0.230624 0.340215 0.484270 0.663710 0.875343 1.139298
2025-02-02 0.118692 0.209700 0.331577 0.498354 0.712758 0.971968 1.301917
2025-02-09 0.092891 0.183429 0.311958 0.495239 0.738320 1.039269 1.429745
2025-02-16 0.076063 0.166903 0.302924 0.503983 0.777735 1.123336 1.578701
2025-02-23 0.059746 0.147701 0.287271 0.501429 0.800824 1.186124 1.701405
2025-03-02 0.043113 0.123860 0.261271 0.481316 0.798058 1.214206 1.779581
2025-03-09 0.034688 0.112999 0.253911 0.487006 0.829820 1.286985 1.915058
2025-03-16 0.025540 0.097904 0.237395 0.477114 0.838433 1.328383 2.009848
2025-03-23 0.022009 0.094293 0.240029 0.496527 0.888961 1.426451 2.179516
2025-03-30 0.016636 0.084535 0.230715 0.496761 0.912241 1.489039 2.305114
2025-04-06 0.012448 0.076103 0.222634 0.498159 0.936890 1.553690 2.434254
2025-04-13 0.009922 0.071458 0.221254 0.510361 0.977772 1.641302 2.595108
2025-04-20 0.008147 0.068450 0.222731 0.527240 1.025899 1.739536 2.771216
2025-04-27 0.006615 0.065494 0.223872 0.543375 1.073054 1.836924 2.947153
2025-05-04 0.004505 0.058401 0.214874 0.540788 1.090693 1.892397 3.066417
2025-05-11 0.003343 0.054654 0.212866 0.550466 1.127558 1.975610 3.224296
2025-05-18 0.002106 0.048725 0.204659 0.547994 1.144687 2.030331 3.343260
2025-05-25 0.000926 0.039902 0.187330 0.526791 1.130456 2.038740 3.397669
2025-06-01 0.000542 0.036774 0.184338 0.532906 1.160742 2.112484 3.543573
2025-06-08 0.000187 0.031276 0.173463 0.522449 1.162932 2.144410 3.630854